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Esta es una crítica tan extraña al sistema que de alguna manera veo todo el tiempo —
"Los modelos de trading algorítmico solo miran la historia"
ok y los traders discrecionales pueden ... ver en el futuro ... ¿de alguna manera?
13 mar, 20:32
An Ex-Goldman MD who traded nat gas for 12 years thinks systematic trading models can have fatal flaws when applied to commodities.
"If you had this strategy running in 2015, there would not be a possibility of the gold market trading 4,000." - let alone 5000
The model has no data for what's never happened.
"What you've seen in the last eight weeks — prices going vertical — that is not found in the history of the gold market anywhere."
So the algo fades it. In week two. In week three.
"I think humans matter."
Every quant who thinks they've solved regime detection needs to answer this.
No se trata ni siquiera de esta entrevista (que es mala, y él expone su punto de manera deficiente), solo es una observación de que la gente hace esta crítica todo el tiempo, a pesar del hecho increíblemente obvio de que los traders discrecionales emparejan erróneamente con la historia *todo el tiempo*
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