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$IN Valuation Model with Realistic FDV Scenarios
@Infinit_Labs has already onboarded 174K+ users pre-core launch.
Based on usage forecasts and standard DeFi valuation models, here’s a prediction by @the_smart_ape at potential FDV at token launch.
Conservative floor: $27M FDV
Realistic base case: $135M FDV
Upside: $270M+ with growth or higher fee share
1. MAU Scenarios:
•Bear: 100K
•Base: 500K
•Bull: 1M
2. Assumptions:
•$100 avg. txn volume
•10 txns/user/month
•0.3% avg. protocol fee
→ $3 revenue/user/month → $36/user/year
3. Protocol Revenue:
•100K MAUs → $3.6M/year
•500K MAUs → $18M/year
•1M MAUs → $36M/year
Assume 50% of revenue goes to $IN holders.
4. FDV with 15x Revenue Multiple:
•100K MAUs → $54M FDV → $27M to holders
•500K MAUs → $270M FDV → $135M to holders
•1M MAUs → $540M FDV → $270M to holders
Use this model to estimate the airdrop value for top Yappers, e.g., 5% of supply at $135M FDV = $6.75M distributed. Divide based on rank.
Infinit just need consistent usage and monetization to justify strong fundamentals.

5.8. klo 16.25
If $IN had launched back in January 2025, it would’ve started at a $1B FDV.
The market is less favorable now, but we can still estimate @Infinit_Labs future FDV with a model.
So far, Infinit has already onboarded 174K+ users, and that’s before all its core features were live.
So it’s reasonable to project a future range of 100K to 1M monthly active users (MAUs).
So we can consider 3 scenarios:
+ 100K MAUs
+ 500K MAUs
+ 1M MAUs
We can assume:
+ $100 avg. volume per transaction
+ 10 transactions per user per month (this is a conservative estimate)
Infinit charges fees between 0.2% and 0.5% depending on strategy complexity, so we’ll use an average fee of 0.3%.
From this, we can calculate protocol-level revenue.
This is total revenue captured by Infinit, not necessarily what's distributed to $IN holders.
We don’t yet know the exact percentage of fees that will be shared with $IN holders.
To stay conservative, let’s assume 50% of the protocol revenue will go to token holders.
(In reality, it may be closer to 100%, but 50% is a safer base case.)
In DeFi, it’s common to value tokens based on a multiple of annualized revenue.
Early-stage projects usually trade at 10x revenue. More mature or hyped protocols can go up to 30x.
Since the AI sector is highly speculative, a 15x multiple seems like a reasonable middle ground. With that in mind, we can estimate the FDV range between $27M and $270M FDV.
A mid scenario of 500K MAUs with a 15x multiple gives us a projected FDV of $135M, which seems realistic for launch.
Even the most conservative scenario, with cautious estimates at every step, still gives us an FDV of $18M.
This worst-case is unlikely but it sets a clear floor.
A conservative but realistic scenario would be 500K monthly users and a 15x revenue multiple → $135M FDV.
That’s a reasonable expectation for a protocol just launching.
Now that you have an estimate of the FDV, you can use this post to calculate the potential reward value for top 1,000 Yappers:




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